Mortgage Rates are at all-time lows right now; 30 year fixed, 20 year fixed, 15 year fixed and even Jumbo Rates, and they are showing no signs of rising! I don’t see them going any lower but staying down at these levels for a while. What’s moving Mortgage Rates? No one really knows right now but this is usually what happens, bonds go up, stocks go down. Stocks go up, bonds go down. It’s really pretty easy to understand. However this mortgage market that we are in is no where near normal. In fact, it’s the total opposite, it’s like nothing we’ve ever experienced.
The housing market is stagnating at record low levels, refinance loans account for the majority of all present loan production. Credit guidelines are as strict as they’ve ever been, it’s really brutal. Home values are off by incredible amounts of inventory. Mortgage Rates are showing no signs at all of rising anytime soon!
30 year fixed mortgage rates remain in the 4.375% to 4.625% range. The 30 year fixed rate mortgage is 4.375% for a qualified borrower. 4.125% is presently being offered for two points.
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Economic Data
Wednesday’s bond market has opened in negative territory following modest stock gains. The Dow is currently up while the Nasdaq has gained. The bond market is currently down, which should push this morning’s mortgage rates higher by approximately .125 of a discount point.
There is no relevant economic data scheduled for release today. This leaves the stock markets to influence bond trading and mortgage rates. If the stock markets move higher from current levels, we should see bond prices fall and mortgage rates rise if the move is sizable. However, if the major stock indexes fall from where they are now, the bond market would likely improve, leading to slightly lower mortgage rates this afternoon.
The only relevant data scheduled for release tomorrow are weekly unemployment figures from the Labor Department. They will post the number of new claims for unemployment benefits filed last week, giving us a small measurement of employment sector growth. This data usually does not lead to noticeable changes in mortgage rates because the data tracks only a single week’s worth of new claims. Analysts are expecting 455,000 new claims, but it will likely take a fairly large variance for the markets to have much of a reaction to this data. This week’s release may carry a little more significance than usual because there is no other data scheduled for release that day.
Friday brings us the release of July’s Employment report that compiles several key employment readings and is based on an entire month’s worth of data. This is a very important report for the financial and mortgage markets and could lead to sizable changes to mortgage rates. I would not be surprised to see the traders prepare for the report by adjusting portfolios late tomorrow and Thursday. This could lead to some pressure in bonds or possibly improvements if market participants are betting on bad economic news coming. The results on mortgage rates should be fairly minimal and could easily be erased after the report is released Friday morning, but it is worth mentioning.
FLOAT or LOCK
If I was closing on a Home Mortgage in the next 0 to 15 Days – LOCK
If I was closing on a Home Mortgage in the next 15 to 30 Days – FLOAT
If I was closing on a Home Mortgage in the next 30 to 60 Days – FLOAT
If I was closing on a Home Mortgage in the next 60+ FLOAT
This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.
- Are you a possible Massachusetts First Time Homebuyer?
- Do you have a Real Estate client inquiring about current Mortgage Rates?
- Do you have any Refinancing questions?
- Should you be thinking about Refinancing out of your ARM (Adjustable Rate Mortgage)?
- Have your Real Estate clients been Pre Approved?
[email protected] 617.771.5021
Credit: Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance, Mortgage News, MBS Quoteline, WSJ, NY Times